Eurovision 2025: Televote Results Analysis
Since 1997, the result of the Eurovision Song Contest has
been decided at least in part by ‘televoting’: votes cast by the public
watching at home, primarily by telephone. Initially, the scheme was trialled in
five countries, before becoming the default voting system in 1998. From then
until 2008, the Eurovision winner was decided entirely by televoting, before
the re-introduction of national juries the following year. Televoting now
counts for half of the points available at Eurovision (actually slightly more
than half, but we’ll get to that in a minute).
Before the 2023 contest, a couple of changes were made to
Eurovision’s voting system. The first of these was the removal of juries from
the semi-finals, meaning that the qualifiers would be decided solely by
televoting (with the exception of San Marino, and any other country unable to
provide a valid televote result). The second change was the introduction of a
‘Rest of the World’ televote in both the semi-finals and final: a way for
viewers in countries not participating in Eurovision to be involved and have a
say. This vote is given the same weight as the televote of a single
participating country. Both of these developments remain in place to this day.
In this article, I will look at this year’s televote winner
in the context of past winning songs, then discuss the results of the televote
quite broadly, before having a closer look at a few interesting points. Much of
the content in the article will be quite similar to that of my analysis of the
jury votes, which you can find here. I would recommend reading that first as it provides useful
context for some of the points I will be raising in relation to the televote.
Since 2009, the televote winner has become the overall
champion on nine out of fifteen occasions*. In every year until 2014, the
people’s champion emerged victorious, and on four of these occasions, the jury
agreed. However, in the years that have followed, only four televote winners
have managed to win the contest outright and we have had only one unanimous
verdict. This has led to a new dynamic in Eurovision recently whereby we have
seen televote favourites such as Käärijä and Baby Lasagna come up
against jury winners Loreen and Nemo, respectively.
In ten out of fifteen years since 2009, the two sides of the
voting have disagreed on their respective winners, producing a ‘split
decision’. The televote winner has taken the trophy in four of these years,
with the other six winners being four jury favourites and two ‘compromise
winners’. All six of the winning songs that did not win the televote still
placed within the top five (three second, one third, one fourth, one fifth),
demonstrating the influence that the televote still carries. The table below highlights
the televote performances of every winning song since 2009.
* 2013 is excluded from most of my analysis as the EBU
has never released a full split result from that year, only sharing the average
ranking of each country from both the televote and the jury.
The changes to the voting in 2023 seem to have had the
unintended consequence of making it more difficult for televote-friendly songs
to win overall (one likely reason for this is a higher number of televote
favourites qualifying for the final and possibly cancelling each other out),
and since these have been introduced, no televote winner has taken the
Eurovision trophy. This year, JJ won the contest for Austria despite only
finishing fourth with the televote, behind Sweden, Estonia and televote winner
Israel.
In both absolute terms and points per voting country (PPC),
“Wasted Love” has the lowest televote score of any winning song since 2009,
scoring 178 points (4.81 PPC). This record was previously held by Azerbaijan’s
Ell and Nikki with 5.31 PPC. JJ also scored the lowest percentage of available
televote points of any winner since 2009, with just over 40% of the maximum. In
addition, the last three years have seen the most one-sided winners since the
split voting system was introduced, with JJ, Nemo and Loreen scoring a smaller
proportion of their points from the televote than any previous winner.
If we instead think about songs which have won the televote
since 2009, we see that, as discussed previously, these are identical to the
overall winners for the first few years, but there are quite a few differences
in more recent times. Since the current voting system was introduced in 2016,
the televote winner has only taken the overall title on four out of nine
occasions. We have seen, however, the tendency of the public to cluster around
one entry more than the music industry professionals, as the televote-winning
score has been higher than the jury-winning score in all but two years.
Of course, there is one clear anomaly in the data above, and
that is Ukraine’s Kalush Orchestra in 2022. In the aftermath of the Russian
invasion, the group rode a wave of public support to absolutely sweep the
televote, achieving both the highest score and greatest lead of all time.
“Stefania” scored an incredible 11.26 PPC, as well as 28 sets of douze
points and a lead over second place of 200 points. I bring this up because,
as you might expect, this tops any and every conceivable ranking and isn’t
overly helpful for analysis, so whilst I will of course acknowledge the brilliant
accomplishments of Ukraine and Kalush, the next few paragraphs will generally
discuss the other televote winners.
This year, Israel won the televote, with Yuval Raphael
scoring 297 points. Much like JJ’s jury victory, and of course overall win,
“New Day Will Rise” didn’t take its title particularly emphatically; its PPC
score of 8.03 is the lowest of any televote winner since 2019, and ranks
eleventh out of fifteen overall. Israel scored 13 sets of 12 points, which does
clear most former winners, however, I’ll explain at some point why I have
questions about this result. The country also received 66.89% of the maximum
possible score from the televote: this stands up well to previous winners, as
shown below.
Hopefully it is clear that since 2009, the vast majority of
televote winners have scored somewhere in the range of 60-80% of the maximum
possible score; as previously stated, this is higher than that seen in the jury
winners. Despite this apparent tendency for the televote to heavily back just
one entry, televote winners tend to have a smaller lead over their nearest
competitor than jury winners. With a few notable exceptions, televote winners
rarely achieve a lead of 20% or more, and Israel’s lead this year of 8.78%
would have been considered average in the 2018-2021 period (before the 2022
Ukrainian landslide and, notably, the re-introduction of televote-only
semi-finals).
I said a very similar thing in my analysis of this year’s
jury votes, but in any other year, Yuval Raphael would probably not have won
the televote. Again, I will come to some of the external factors that may have
helped her to eventually do so, but if ever there was a year for a Käärijä or
a Baby Lasagna to come and wipe the floor with everyone else, this was it! “Cha
Cha Cha” scored more points from the televote in 2023 than “New Day Will Rise” did
from both sides of the voting combined. This year, quite a few countries did
reasonably well in the televote, but no song managed to garner the widespread
appeal necessary to take the overall title. Thirteen countries received douze
points from at least one other country’s televote – the highest number
since 2021 – showing once again how spread out these results really were. Let’s
take a deep-dive into the numbers.
As mentioned previously, Israel was this year’s televote winner
with a score of 297 points. I’ve spoken a bit about this already, and will go
into more depth in the future, so I won’t add too much more here. Israel
received points from all countries bar three, including the maximum 12 points
from the Rest of the World. Other countries to award Yuval Raphael the douze
included the Netherlands and Spain – both of which have said they will withdraw
from Eurovision if Israel is allowed to participate next year – as well as
Azerbaijan, which was the only country to award Israel 24 points; that is, 12
from both the televote and the jury.
Israel’s nearest rival in the televote was eventual third-place
finisher Tommy Cash from Estonia. Despite being performed very early on in the
show, “Espresso macchiato” managed to win over audiences all over Europe,
scoring 258 points and receiving marks from every country except France.
Estonia scored five sets of 12 points, primarily from fellow Eastern European
nations, and another eleven countries ranked Tommy Cash in the top three.
However, the country only received 2 points from the Rest of the World, which,
given the tight margin between Israel and Estonia on the final scoreboard,
means that “Espresso macchiato” would have finished second had it not been for
this vote.
Third place went to pre-contest favourites Sweden, who finished
fourth overall with “Bara bada bastu”. Despite being predicted to win the
televote in a landslide, the song only scored 195 points, quite adrift of the
two countries ahead. This entry was received very differently in different
parts of the continent: KAJ scored 12 points from Nordic neighbours Denmark,
Estonia, Finland and Norway, and scored highly from several other countries in
this part of Europe. However, Sweden scored significantly fewer points from
Mediterranean and other Southern European nations, and even failed to receive
any points at all from two countries. The song scored 6 points from the Rest of
the World.
Eventual winner Austria finished fourth in the televote,
scoring 178 points. Again, I’ve spoken a little about this result already and there’s
not too much more to add, but I will also share that JJ received points from 33
out of a possible 37 countries, including 1 point from the Rest of the World. Six
countries placed “Wasted Love” in the top three, however, the song failed to
score a single douze points, making JJ the second winner in three years
to take the Eurovision trophy without being a single country’s televote winner
(Loreen also achieved this in 2023).
Rounding out the televote’s top five was Albania’s Shkodra
Elektronike, who came in just behind Austria with 173 points. “Zjerm” received
12 points from both Greece and Montenegro, and was ranked in the top three by a
further seven countries, as well as the Rest of the World, which placed Albania
second, awarding the country 10 points. Despite this high score, Albania still
failed to receive any points from eleven countries, demonstrating its lack of
widespread appeal compared to the songs that finished above it.
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| Ziferblat from Ukraine performing at Eurovision 2025. (photo: Corinne Cumming/EBU) |
Sixth place went to Ukraine, who scored 158 points.
Ziferblat received points from 25 out of 37 countries, including maximum marks
from Czechia, Israel and Poland. Poland has awarded Ukraine the douze in
every possible grand final since 2018, and Czechia has done the same since
2022. Another four countries ranked “Bird of Pray” in the top three, and on top
of this, Ukraine received 8 points from the Rest of the World. Personally, I
think this is much higher than the song deserved, and do believe that Ukraine
still have an intrinsic advantage with the televote, though clearly not to the
extent we saw in 2022.
Next was Justyna Steczkowska from Poland, who finished
seventh in the televote with 139 points. “Gaja” received votes from 22
countries, including 12 points from Iceland and Ireland (the latter of which
has been noted for its sizeable Polish diaspora) and 4 points from the Rest of
the World. Justyna was followed by Klavdia from Greece, who scored 126 points,
with maximum marks from Albania, San Marino and of course perennial friendly
voters Cyprus. “Asteromáta” was ranked in the top three by a further four
countries, and received a very respectable 7 points from the Rest of the World.
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| Poland's Justyna Steczkowska finished in the televote's top ten at Eurovision 2025. (photo: Alma Bengtsson/EBU) |
Ninth place went to another pre-contest favourite in
Finland’s Erika Vikman. In possibly the most clear example of the opinions of
the Eurovision community differing from those of the general public, “Ich
Komme” barely made it into triple figures with the televote, scoring 108
points, having previously been suggested as a potential winner (including, I
must add, by myself). Finland didn’t receive any sets of 12 points, however
received 10 from neighbours Estonia and Sweden, as well as Australia, and 5
points from the Rest of the World.
The final song to crack the televote’s top ten was “Volevo
essere un duro” for Italy, which finished fifth overall. Lucio Corsi scored 97
points, including 12 from Slovenia and top-three rankings from another five
countries. However, eighteen countries, as well as the Rest of the World, failed
to award the country any points at all. We then have a bit of a dip to Germany,
who earned eleventh place with a score of 74 points. In by far the country’s
best televote result since 2018, Abor and Tynna scored 12 points from Austria,
with 8 points from Lithuania being their next-highest mark.
Kyle Alessandro from Norway finished twelfth in the televote
with 67 points. Despite opening the show, “Lighter” scored points from 17 out
of 37 countries, including 10 points from Ukraine and 8 from Iceland. The last
country to make it onto the left-hand side of the scoreboard (with the
televote) was Lithuania, who scored 62 points. As is often the case, this was
helped not insignificantly by the country’s diaspora, with “Tavo akys” being
ranked in the top three by Ireland, Latvia, Ukraine and the UK. However, the
song did prove to be somewhat divisive as only eleven countries gave it any
points.
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| Erika Vikman performed "Ich Komme" in the grand final of Eurovision 2025. (photo: Sarah Louise Bennett/EBU) |
Next was another pre-contest favourite, and my personal
prediction for the winner, in France’s Louane. Whilst I’d thought it would be
the song to most effectively appeal to both sides of the voting, “Maman” only
managed to score 50 points from the televote, in a result strikingly similar to
Destiny’s “Je me casse” in 2021. France’s highest marks were 10 points from
Armenia and 8 from Belgium. Behind Louane is a tie for fifteenth place, with
the Netherlands beating Latvia by virtue of having received points from more
countries, despite both finishing with 42 points.
Despite receiving nul points from the juries, Iceland
managed to rack up 33 points from the public to leave them seventeenth. The
nine countries to award Væb points were primarily fellow Nordic nations, and the
boys’ highest mark was a particularly generous 10 points from Denmark. They
were followed by Parg from Armenia, who scored 30 points from just five
countries. “Survivor” actually received two-thirds of its televote score from
just two countries, with France awarding 8 points and the Georgian public deeming
the song worthy of douze points.
We come now to Laura Thorn of Luxembourg, who scored 24
points from the televote despite performing in the so-called ‘death slot’. The
country received votes from five other countries, including 8 points from both
Albania and Montenegro. Laura was followed by San Marino’s Gabry Ponte, scoring
18 points to leave him in twentieth place with the public. Perhaps
unsurprisingly, most of “Tutta L’Italia”’s score came from Italy, who awarded
the song 12 points. Albania and Malta – both countries with noted tendencies to
support Italy in Eurovision – were the only other countries to vote for San
Marino. This made San Marino the lowest-ranked country overall to receive any
sets of 12 points, as well as the first last-place finisher to receive 12
points since No Angels in 2008 (although they technically weren’t last due to
the tie-break rules).
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| Portugal scored 13 points from the televote at Eurovision 2025. (photo: Alma Bengtsson/EBU) |
Portugal were next, with “Deslocado” receiving just 13
points from the European public. This consisted entirely of 8 points from
Luxembourg and 5 from France: again, both countries with a noted Portuguese
diaspora. However, the recent commercial success of the song makes me feel that
the boys from Napa won’t be losing too much sleep about this result. Next was
another Iberian nation in Spain, who scored 10 points, including 3 from the
Rest of the World. It was, however, Portugal that contributed the majority of
Melody’s televote score, awarding her 6 points.
Malta’s Miriana Conte was another contestant to perform
worse than expected in the televote, with “Serving” only managing a score of 8
points. I spoke briefly about why I wasn’t necessarily too surprised by this in
my initial post-show analysis, and I stand by the fact that I think the final
performance was just a bit too much. Malta received 5 points from Australia,
and three countries awarded Miriana 1 point. Sissal from Denmark was the last
contestant to score any points from the televote, achieving a score of 2
points, both of which came from Iceland in a classic act of reciprocal awarding
of votes.
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| Sissal from Denmark scored just 2 points from the televote at Eurovision 2025. (photo: Corinne Cumming/EBU) |
For the first time since 2021, and only the second time
since televoting was introduced, this year saw more than one country receive nul
points from the public. Whilst it wasn’t quite the dramatic result we had
four years ago, when four countries failed to score, the televote’s failure to
reward the UK and Switzerland – both countries that had been ranked in the top
ten by the juries – certainly shook the scoreboard up somewhat. Switzerland’s
Zoë
Më
finished second with the juries, scoring 214 points, and was left right until
the end of the show to find out her televote score, which was possibly the
gravest miscarriage of justice in recent Eurovision history. This was the
second consecutive year of the UK being snubbed by the televote, however,
Remember Monday’s jury score of 88 points was enough to keep them away from the
very bottom of the final scoreboard.
Sometimes in Eurovision, a song performs worse than expected
simply by being average. The way the voting system works means that a country needs
to finish in the top ten of a jury or televote ranking in order to score any
points, hence a more divisive song that ranks very well with a select few
countries will outscore a song that everybody deems to be in the middle of the
pack. To gain a more accurate picture of what the public thought of the UK and
Switzerland, we can look at where they were ranked by all of the other voting
countries, as this information is made public by the EBU.
The above data illustrates the number of times each of the
UK and Switzerland received every ordinal ranking from 11th-26th
in a country’s televote. Switzerland received an average ranking of 19.73,
whilst for the UK this was three places lower, at 22.76. The closest
Switzerland came to receiving points from any country was with Portugal, who
ranked “Voyage” eleventh. By contrast, no country placed Remember Monday any
higher than eighteenth, and only five countries ranked “What the Hell Just
Happened?” higher than twentieth.
Looking at a head-to-head comparison in the 36 countries
that could vote for both the UK and Switzerland (again, the Rest of the World
is counted as a single country), Switzerland were ranked higher in 29 of them,
with the UK on top in the remaining seven. All of this seems to provide quite
damning evidence that Switzerland beat the UK in this year’s televote; no
statistician in their right mind would dispute that conclusion. However, the
EBU’s tie-break rules mean that in the event of multiple countries failing to
score any points, they shall be ranked according to running order, with entries
performed earlier in the show deemed to have finished higher. It is for that
reason that the UK officially finished twenty-fifth in the televote, leaving
Switzerland as the official last place.
Let’s now take a slight side-step and look at which
countries were ranked first by the most other countries’ televotes. Obviously I
discussed some of this earlier on when I mentioned who had received 12 points
most frequently, but once again I’ll say that a whopping thirteen countries
received at least one douze points; once again highlighting the more
even distribution of points this year. Israel received the most maximum marks,
with thirteen. There is then a bit of a gulf before we reach Estonia with five,
Sweden with four, Greece and Ukraine both with three, and Albania and Poland
each with two. Armenia, Germany, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania and San Marino each
received one set of 12 points from the televote.
The image above illustrates the lines drawn across the
continent this year. Israel received 12 points from most of Western Europe, as
well as the Rest of the World televote, which has never failed to award the
country the douze. Most Nordic countries instead went for KAJ from
Sweden, and many Balkan countries voted for Greece or Albania. We also saw
other instances of neighbourly and diaspora voting, including Armenia’s 12
points from Georgia and Poland scoring the Irish douze. This year, the only
countries to ‘share the love’ and award each other 12 points in the televote
were Albania and Greece.
At the bottom of the scoreboard, despite finishing with nul
points overall, Switzerland was only ranked last by one country’s televote
(Malta), whilst the UK was put at the bottom by eight other countries. However,
the award (?) for most last-place rankings went, as it did with the juries, to
San Marino, who was given the wooden spoon by nine countries, as well as the
Rest of the World televote. Denmark received five, Armenia and Portugal both
three, Malta two, and several different countries were ranked last by a single
country’s televote.
Unsurprisingly, Armenia was ranked last by Azerbaijan’s
televote. The televote ‘mutual dislike’ award goes to Portugal and San Marino, both
of whom ranked the other last in the televote. In the jury vote, I mentioned a
couple of ‘ungrateful recipients of 12 points’; we didn’t have any of those in
the televote, though Lithuania ranked the UK last despite receiving 8 points
from the British public. Again, these ‘awards’ are intended to be taken in
good humour.
This year, four countries awarded another the maximum 24
points: that is to say, the jury and the televote agreed on a winner. I
previously mentioned Azerbaijan giving Israel the ‘double douze’, but we
also had Lithuania awarding Latvia the maximum, Slovenia voting heavily for
Italy and of course Greece received 12 points from both the Cypriot jury and
televote. At the other end of the spectrum, six countries chose the same wooden
spoon from both televote and jury. Of course, this included Azerbaijan, who
ranked Armenia last in both sides of the voting. The other five countries all clearly
decided that San Marino was the worst of the night: Australia, Denmark, Norway,
Portugal and the UK all ranked “Tutta L’Italia” last in both the televote and
the jury.
I’d now like to have a slightly closer look at the results
of the Rest of the World vote this year. I mentioned earlier a few occasions
when countries had received points from the Rest of the World, but here is the
full result. As they have done every year since 2023, Israel received 12
points, and they were followed by Albania, Ukraine, Greece, Sweden, Finland,
Poland, Spain and Estonia, with eventual winner Austria being the last country
to score from the non-participating countries.
On the surface, this shouldn’t be a surprise. Albania has a
sizeable international diaspora and the country is another one that often
scores well from the Rest of the World for that reason. We can probably make
similar arguments for Ukraine, Greece, Poland and Spain. Sweden and Finland
(and Austria to a lesser extent) were fan favourites, whilst Estonia had the
novelty element to it. It’s interesting to note that of these countries, nine
finished in the overall televote top ten, with Spain being the most elevated
country (replacing Italy in the top ten).
For some reason, the EBU doesn’t explicitly publish the
ranking of the Rest of the World televote. However, due to the way in which
results are presented on the Eurovision website, we are able to work out the
positions of most countries. This is shown in the image below. From the
information we have, it is not possible to work out whether Germany finished
ahead of the Netherlands, and similarly where France were ranked in relation to
Norway. However, the rest of the ranking should be correct, and I have also
included the change from the overall televote ranking.
The countries with the biggest rise in position from the
overall result were Spain (as previously discussed), Malta (who also had the
fan favourite status and elements of notoriety) and Armenia – another country
with significant diaspora populations elsewhere. Estonia, Austria, Italy and
San Marino suffered the biggest fall in positions*; however, these were not as
significant as the previously mentioned increases. Israel and Poland were the
only countries to be ranked in exactly the same position by the Rest of the
World and the overall televote.
* Norway also suffered a significant fall compared to the
overall televote result, but as previously mentioned, we cannot be sure of the
exact ranking change.
Now the experimental statistics will be making a return, as
I once again try to work out which countries’ televotes were the most
‘mainstream’, and which were a bit more… left-field. For a full explanation of
my methodology, see my jury results analysis – these findings have been
obtained in exactly the same way. Before I start, I should mention that I won’t
be including the Rest of the World in my statistics here, nor San Marino as its
televote consists of an aggregated ranking of other countries. I will, however,
mention that the Rest of the World vote exhibited strong positive correlation
with the overall result, and the aggregated Sammarinese televote perhaps
unsurprisingly had one of the strongest correlation coefficient values, at
0.88.
Again, it shouldn’t be a surprise that every country’s
televote ranking displayed at least moderately strong positive correlation with
the overall result. The least ‘mainstream’ country was Estonia, and by some
distance too, with a correlation coefficient of 0.41. This was largely down to
the Estonian public ranking popular songs from Poland, Greece and Albania very
low indeed. Another six countries had correlation coefficient values lower than
0.6, falling into the ‘moderate’ category. These countries’ televoters exhibited
the least agreement with the prevailing opinion and would be considered to be
the least ‘mainstream’.
Conversely, nine countries had correlation coefficients
greater than 0.8, with their agreement with the overall result being deemed to
be ‘very strong’ (this does not include the aforementioned aggregated
Sammarinese televote). The country with the most ‘mainstream’ televoters was
Czechia, which had a correlation coefficient of 0.91 and awarded points to
eight of the eventual televote top ten. The data here does go further towards
implying that the televote tend to cluster more around the same entries, as many
of this year’s national juries exhibited significantly weaker correlation with
the overall jury result, demonstrating that the professional panels are likely
to produce a more even result.
Another interesting thing to look at is the effect of the
running order on the behaviour of televoters. It has long been suggested in the
Eurovision community that performing near the start of the show can prove to be
a disadvantage for an artist, and many people would point to previous acts such
as We Are Domi or Teya and Salena as entries that underperformed in the final
televote compared with the semi-final and performed very early on. Last year,
in an apparent attempt to mitigate this, the vote was opened before the first
song was performed and closed during the interval. That was also the case this
year. In addition, viewers in non-participating countries are able to vote
before the show has even started, to allow for different time zones.
It is therefore not a huge surprise to see that this year,
the televote seemed in fact to have a bias in the favour of entries performed
near the start of the show. With the televote’s first and second place, Israel
and Estonia, both in the first four songs of the night, and Ukraine and Austria
also in the first ten, there were some real heavyweights this year throwing our
hypothesis out of the window. In fact, only four countries’ televotes this year
exhibited a bias in favour of entries performed later, and none of these were
particularly strong.
Switzerland’s bias was the strongest (and as such I would
deem the country’s televoters to be the ‘most affected’ by running order) and
even then the correlation between a higher televote rank and later running
order position was only measured to be 0.12 (very weak). The countries with the
televoters most and least affected by running order are listed below. Due to my
hypothesis, I use ‘most affected’ to mean a stronger bias towards songs performed
at the end of the show, and ‘least affected’ to mean a stronger bias towards
songs performed at the start of the show.
Finally, it’s time to talk about the jury-televote split,
and which countries’ televoters agreed the most with their national experts.
This year, the overall correlation between the rankings of the two sides of the
vote was measured at 0.20, indicating weak positive correlation. Of course,
positive correlation is to be expected as we can probably assume that the
experts and the public get the same general impression of most of the songs,
however, in a year with results as disparate as this, the correlation will
naturally not be as strong as in other years.
In terms of raw scores, the country with the greatest
disparity between its jury score and televote score was Israel, with a
237-point gap. On the other side of things, Switzerland scored 214 points from
the juries but 0 from the public, creating the second-largest difference this
year. Another four countries had disparities of more than 100 points. Since the
splitting of the votes in 2016, Israel’s jury-televote difference of 237 has
only been surpassed by three entries: Ukraine’s Kalush Orchestra in 2022 (247),
Norway’s KEiiNO in 2019 (251) and Israel’s own Eden Golan last year, whose
televote score was a huge 271 points more than what she received from the
juries.
On the other side of things, Luxembourg had the most evenly
split result this year, with only a one-point difference between the two
scores. They were closely followed by Germany and San Marino, both of whom also
had disparities of less than ten points. Of the overall top ten, Greece was the
country that received the most consistent scores, earning just 21 more points
from the televote than the juries. Since 2016, Laura Thorn’s feat has been
matched by Lithuania in 2018, Azerbaijan in 2021 and France in 2022, whilst
four acts have achieved exactly the same score from both sides of the voting:
Germany 2017, Finland 2018, Iceland 2022 and… the UK 2021. But the less said
about that last one, the better.
This year, the country with the most agreement between its
jury and televote was Lithuania, with a correlation coefficient of 0.67. Three
other countries fell into the ‘strong correlation’ range with values above 0.6.
On the other hand, five countries had negative correlation between the two
rankings, implying that the music industry ‘experts’ were deeply out of touch
with the opinions of the people. Interestingly, one of these countries was San
Marino, though maybe this isn’t surprising when you consider that the televote
result was constructed based on other countries’ results, and also that the
Sammarinese jury result in both Semi-Final 1 and the final seemed to be a bit
of an outlier.
Of the countries where negative correlation was seen,
Czechia was the only one to show ‘weak’ negative correlation as opposed to
‘very weak’. This was largely down to a few major differences in the rankings
(such as the UK, which was ranked 2nd by the jury but 26th
(last) by the televote). Italy had a similar thing happen, interestingly enough
also with the UK, who scored the jury’s 12 points but were ranked 24th
by the public. The other instances of negative correlation were incredibly weak
and in reality virtually no correlation was seen.
With that, I’ll bring this article, and my series analysing
the results of Eurovision 2025, to its conclusion. I’ve really enjoyed looking
a bit more closely at all the numbers, so hopefully you have enjoyed reading
it, and thank you if you have made it this far. This also marks the end of my
Eurovision 2025 coverage. Of course, this has been my first Eurovision season
blogging, so there’s been much learning as I’ve gone along but I think I’ve
found my stride and am looking forward to continue sharing my Eurovision-related
thoughts during the off-season. Whilst posts may not be ever so regular for the
next few months, there will definitely be a few exciting things coming so
please do stick around and keep an eye on my social media, particularly
Bluesky, where I’ll share any new posts as and when they are released.


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